Wednesday, May 3, 2017

ANGOLA: OIL ACTIVITY IS IN CRISIS

The high cost of producing the barrel of oil and the steady decline in price on the international market is leading two of the world's largest oil companies, Chevron and Exxon to rethink their business strategy in Angola. The possibility of abandoning activity in this country is not out of the question.
Sonangol (the Angolan state oil company) led by Isabel dos Santos faces serious cash-flow difficulties and has for some time been unable to monitor with foreign investments. In addition to requiring Chevron to reduce considerably its budget (40% this year), it often fails to respond to proposed new projects, such as Exxon intension to develop a drilling project of 40 to 60 new oil wells in deep waters.
This skewed policy in which nothing is decided is attributed to Isabel dos Santos, accused by many of not being able to manage Sonangol and only being interested in personal enrichment.
Impatience has already taken over both Chevron and Exxon. Another good example of careless management is BP - itself had planned an investment of $ 800 million in Angola - after a four months deadlock the proposal succumbed.
With the reduction of investments in this sector, production will naturally tend to fall and the national budget will suffer even more harmful consequences than today.
The Angolan State can’t neglect this created scenario, as these and other companies will certainly change their strategy and invest in more attractive markets.


João Dias - Senior Consultant

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